Moneyline
Sharp-market prices are de-vigged to estimate fair win probabilities, then compared with every connected bookmaker price.
PRE-FIGHT MARKET INTELLIGENCE
UFC FIGHT PREDICTIONS. PRICED, NOT PICKED.
Compare market-derived fair probabilities with connected-bookmaker prices and estimated value across Moneyline, Goes the Distance and Method of Victory—all in one pre-fight view.
Current UFC Fight Night main-event Moneyline fair probabilities
UFC Fight Night · CURRENT MLLAST PRICE REFRESH
BRENDAN ALLEN52.4%FAIR WIN PROBABILITY
VSCHRISTIAN LEROY DUNCAN47.6%FAIR WIN PROBABILITY
FAIR DECIMAL ODDS1.91BRENDAN ALLEN2.10CHRISTIAN LEROY DUNCAN
SNAPSHOT DETAILSCURRENTREFERENCE STATUSSHARPCONSENSUSML5 ROUNDS
MARKET-DERIVED · NOT A GUARANTEEINFORMATIONAL ONLY
NEXT UFC CARDUFC Fight Night
UFC Fight Night
Brendan Allen vs Christian Leroy Duncan
Move from the confirmed fight card to available fair probabilities, connected-bookmaker prices and estimated value. Upcoming keeps the full current card and event details in one place.
UFC Fight Night priority fight markets
PRIORITY FIGHTS12 CONFIRMED BOUTS
MAIN EVENTBrendan AllenVSChristian Leroy DuncanMiddleweight · 5 ROUNDS→CO-MAIN EVENTMatheus CamiloVSJai HerbertLightweight · 3 ROUNDS→FULL CARD & EVENT DETAILS→WHAT WE PRICEONE FIGHT.
ONE FIGHT.
THREE MARKETS.
NO NARRATIVES.
Goes the Distance
Fair yes/no probabilities, connected-book prices and estimated value whenever the reference market is available.
Method of Victory
KO/TKO, submission and decision prices for both fighters, with fair probabilities and estimated value.
HOW VALUE IS JUDGEDTHE FAIR LINE,
THE FAIR LINE,
THEN THE PRICE.
Sharp-market reference prices are de-vigged to estimate a fair market probability. We then compare available connected-bookmaker odds with that fair line and calculate estimated value. A positive estimate means the available price is above the fair price—it is not a guarantee of profit.
Complete sharp-market prices are independently de-vigged and combined into our fair probability and price.
Available bookmaker prices are compared against the same fair market line.
Markets move, availability varies and a positive estimate does not guarantee profit.
CHOOSE YOUR ACCESSCHOOSE YOUR
CHOOSE YOUR
MARKET ACCESS.
Free access is available now. Core uses secure Stripe Checkout, while Pro remains unavailable until its member tools are ready.
Compare Free, Core and Pro market-access plans
The UFC database, upcoming cards and essential Moneyline pricing.
- Complete UFC fighter, fight and event database
- Professional records, career history and UFC statistics
- Upcoming cards with Moneyline fair odds and value
- Archived results and Moneyline price history
The complete pre-fight pricing toolkit for every supported UFC market.
- Everything in Free
- Full ML, GTD and MoV fair odds and EV
- All connected bookmaker prices ranked by value
- Value Bets, MMA Specials and multi-leg EV Calculator
- Complete market price history
Everything in Core, with personalised monitoring and deeper performance tools.
- Everything in Core
- Personal value alerts for followed fighters and markets
- Published bet tracking and performance insights
- Advanced card tools and member features